Ohio Nowcast.
Welcome to the Ohio Nowcast for Nickel Plate

Nickel Plate Nickel Plate is operated by City of Huron and monitored by the Erie County Health Department.  This is the first year of the nowcast at Nickel Plate.

The information on this page is updated by Erie County Health Department by noon (EDT) Monday-Thursday during the swimming season. This nowcast issues advisories and predicts the probability once a day at the posted time only. Storms are likely to result in a quick change in water quality.

For futher information, contact Craig Ward (cward@eriecohealthohio.org).

See you next year...

Date / time
Beach Advisory Information

Nickel Plate

9/4/2015   9:12:00 AM
A swimming advisory is NOT in effect at this time
Date / time

Probability that E. coli exceeds the  safe level (percent)

Water temperature (degrees F)
Predicted water quality
Nickel Plate
9/4/2015   9:12:00 AM


Culture method (MPN / 100 mL)
Nickel Plate
Nickel Plate
Nickel Plate

RP: Results pending
NS: No sample collected on this date.

Variables used in the Nickel Plate nowcast model - 2015

The variables below will be used in a model to predict the probability of exceeding the E. coli bathing-water standard of 235 most-probable number/100 mL (MPN/100 mL). If the probability exceeds the established threshold (25%), the beach is posted with a swimming advisory.

Model information

Explanatory variables

Nickel Plate 2010-14


Threshold probability = 25%


         Water temperature

         Date is before July 15 (yes or no)

         Radar rainfall in the past 48 hours, weighted

         Discharge, instantaneous at 8:00 a.m., Huron River at Milan, USGS 04199000

View seasonal data on E. coli concentrations and water quality.

Data Upload (restricted access)
For comments or changes regarding this Web page, please contact:
Donna Francy, USGS Ohio Water Science Center, 6480 Doubletree Avenue, Columbus, OH 43229; Phone: (614) 430-7769